Why Google Might Pay Billions to US Publishers in 2024


An settlement struck earlier this month between Google and the Canadian authorities on behalf of the information business has added additional momentum to comparable legislative efforts within the U.S., in line with Information/Media Alliance president and CEO Danielle Coffey.

In December, Google agreed to pay the Canadian information media C$100 million ($75 million) yearly, fastened to inflation, to proceed sharing hyperlinks to Canadian information outlet pages. 

Utilizing the association as precedent, the U.S. information media might anticipate to safe the same compensation mannequin from the search engine, doubtlessly as quickly as subsequent 12 months, Coffey mentioned on the Native Market Traits podcast. Within the U.S., nevertheless, the overall dispensation might quantity to billions of {dollars}.

“Positively billions,” Coffey mentioned on the podcast. “Even with the bottom numbers that we’ve seen all over the world, when translated to the U.S. financial system and market share, it’s positively a B. And we consider that B must be plural.”

A possible payout of that magnitude would signify an infinite growth for the U.S. information media, which in 2023 suffered one in all its worst business years in many years. Fears of a recession, persistent inflation and an ongoing shift in advertising and marketing budgets led publishers throughout the business to endure a number of waves of layoffs and closures.

The home information business has proposed comparable compensation fashions previously, arguing that platforms like Google and Meta ought to pay to distribute publishers’ content material in the identical approach that cable suppliers pay retransmission charges to hold broadcast firms’ content material.

Whereas the tv business is bigger than the information media, in 2022 it generated $14.5 billion from retransmission and carriage charges alone, in line with S&P World Market Intelligence.

“We encourage policymakers to contemplate approaches that incentivize free market collaboration and the event of mutually useful business fashions that may present enduring assist for the ecosystem, whereas additionally respecting the open internet and the free expression it allows,” a consultant for Google mentioned in a press release.

Parallels in California’s compensation legislation

A invoice proposed in California presents the closest parallel to the information media compensation legal guidelines handed in different international locations, in line with Coffey.

The California Journalism Preservation Act has proffered comparable phrases, mandating that expertise platforms with greater than 50 million month-to-month customers and a market cap of greater than $550 billion pay information publishers when surfacing their content material.